10 Signs of Economic Recovery

1) Home Sales - http://www.nahb.org/ HMI
2) Unemployement - Stabilizes over 2 to 3 months and sink downward. http://www.bls.gov/
3) Temporary Jobs - It should start increasing. http://www.bls.gov/
4) Car Sales - Start increasing.
5) Retail Sales - http://www.census.gov/. Start increasing. Walmart, Norstrom.
6) Interest Rate Spread - Should start narrowing.
10 yr Treasury Bond= 3%, 10yr Corporate Bond= 7%, = 4% Spread. Jumbo Mortgage plus/minus 1.5% above Conforming Mortgage to 0.5%.
7) Pasta Indicator - Pasta Sales start to slow. Track stock AIPC.
8) Cardboard - As package to buy increases, Liner Board price increases. Track stock symbols: SSCC (Smurfit-Stone Container Corp), IP(International Paper)
9) Sweet-Talking Bill Collectors - They start decreasing and won't you let off that easily anymore. http://www.creditcard.com/.
10) Movie Ticket Sales - Start increasing. http://www.ercboxoffice.com/.

http://www.stockfetcher.com/
/*Bullish Swing Trade*/
and close is above 5
and average volume(60) is above 200000
and High is below than High 1 day ago
and High 1 day ago is below High 2 day ago
and MA(10) is above EMA(30)
and close is below MA(10)
and close is above EMA(30)
/*and close is above MA(200)*/
/*and MA(50) is above EMA(150) */
and ADX(10) is above 20

/*Bullish Swing 2*/
and Close is above 5
and average volume(60) is above 200000
and High is below than High 1 day ago
and High 1 day ago is below High 2 day ago
and MA(5) is above EMA(20)
and Close is below MA(5)
and Close is above EMA(20)
and MA(50) above MA(200)
and ADX(10) is above 20

/*Bearish Swing Trade*/
and close is above 5
and average volume(60) is above 200000
and Low is above than Low 1 day ago
and Low 1 day ago is above Low 2 day ago
and MA(10) is below EMA(30) and close is above MA(10)
and close is below EMA(30)
/*and close is below MA(200) */
/*and MA(50) below EMA(150) */
and ADX(10) is above 20

/* Bearish Swing 2 */
and Close is above 5
and average volume(60) is above 200000
and Low is above than Low 1 day ago
and Low 1 day ago is above Low 2 day ago
and MA(5) is below EMA(20)
and close is above MA(5)
and close is below EMA(20)
and MA(50) is below MA(200)
and ADX(10) is above 20

ETF Summary by Leavitt Brothers
updated January 12, 2008
(new additions: DZK, DPK (developing markets); EDC, EDZ (emerging markets); TYH, TYP (Russell 1000 technology); MWJ, MWN (Russell Midcaps) - none of these have much volume yet)
US Indexes
DIA Dow30 long
DOG Dow30 short
DDM Dow30 2x long
DXD Dow30 2x short

ONEQ Nasdaq

QQQQ Nasdaq100 long
PSQ Nasdaq100 short
QLD Nasdaq100 2x long
QID Nasdaq100 2x short

OEF SP100
IOO SP100 Global

SPY SP500 long
SH SP500 short
SSO SP500 2x long
SDS SP500 2x short
IVV SP500
IWV SP500 Growth
IVE SP500 Value

MDY SP400 long
MVV SP400 short
IJH SP400
MVV SP400 2x long
MZZ SP400 2x short
IJK SP400 Growth
IJJ SP400 Value

IJR SP600 long
SDD SP600 2x short
IJT SP600 Growth
IJS SP600 Value

IWB Russell1000
IWF Russell1000 Growth
SFK Russell1000 Growth 2x short
IWD Russell1000 Value
SJF Russell1000 Value 2x short
BGU Russell1000 3x long
BGZ Russell1000 3x short
TYH Russell 1000 technology 3x long
TYP Russell 1000 technology 3x short

IWM Russell2000 long
RWM Russell2000 short
UWM Russell2000 2x long
TWM Russell2000 2x short
TNA Russell2000 3x long
TZA Russell2000 3x short
IWO Russell2000 Growth
SKK Russell2000 Growth 2x short
IWN Russell2000 Value
SJH Russell2000 Value 2x short

IWV Russell3000
IWZ Russell3000 Growth
IWW Russell3000 Value

IWC Russell MicroCap
IWR Russell MidCap
MWJ Russell Midcap 3x long
MWN Russell Midcap 3x short
IWP Russell MidCap Growth
SDK Russell MidCap Growth 2x short
IWS Russell MidCap Value
SJL Russell MidCap Value 2x short

VTI Vanguard Total Market
VUG Vanguard Growth
VTV Vanguard Value
VV Vanguard Large Cap
VO Vanguard MidCap
VB Vanguard SmallCap
VBK Vanguard SmallCap Growth
VBR Vanguard SmallCap Value

PWB Dynamic Large Cap
PWJ Dynamic MidCap Growth
DVY Dow Select Dividend

RSP Rydex SP Equal Weight

Word Indexes
EWA Australia
EWO Austria
EWK Belgium
EWZ Brazil
BIK BRIC 40
EWC Canada
FXI China
GXC China
PGJ China
CHN China
FXP China 2x short
EEB BRIC
EWQ France
EWG Germany
EWH Hong Kong
INP India
IFN India
EWI Italy
EWJ Japan
EWV Japan 2x short
EWM Malaysia
EWW Mexico
RSX Russia
EWS Singapore
EZA South Africa
EWY South Korea
EWP Spain
EWD Sweden
EWL Switzerland
EWT Taiwan
EWU United Kingdom

ILF Latin American 40
EPP Pacific ex-Japan
VGK European
FEZ Euro STOXX 50
IEV Europe 350
VEA Europe Pacific
VEU All World ex-USA
VPL Pacific
IOO Global 100

DZK Developed Markets 3x long
DPK Developed Markets 3x short

EEM Emerging Markets
VWO Emerging Markets
EDC Emerging Markets 3x long
EDZ Emerging Markets 3x short
ADRE Emerging Markets 50
EUM Emerging Markets short
EEV Emerging Markets 2x short

PID Int'l Dividend Achievers

Commodities
XLB Materials
IYM Basic Materials
SMN Basic Materials 2x short
GSG Commodities
RJI Commodities
DBC Commodities
RJA Commodities - Ag
DBA Commodities - Ag
UCD Commodities 2x long
CMD Commodities 2x short

GDX Gold
GLD Gold
IAU Gold
DGP Gold 2x long
UGL Gold 2x long
DZZ Gold 2x short
GLL Gold 2x short

SLV Silver
AGQ Silver 2x long
ZSL Silver 2x short

XME Metals & Mining
IGE Natural Resources
SLX Steel
KOL Coal
DBB Base Metals

PHO Water Resources
CGW Claymore SP Global Water
TAN Solar Energy

IYE Energy
XLE Energy
OIH Oil Services
XOP Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
DIG Oil & Gas 2x long
DUG Oil & Gas 2x short
USO United States Oil
IEO US Oil & Gas
UNG United States Natural Gas
OIL Crude Oil long
DXO Crude Oil 2x long
UCO Crude Oil 2x long
SCO Crude Oil 2x short
DTO Crude Oil 2x short
ERX Russell1000 Energy 3x long
ERY Russell1000 Energy 3x short

US Sectors
PPA Aerospace & Defense
KBE Banks
IAT Banks, Regional
KRE Banks, Regional
RKH Banks, Regional
BBH Biotech
XBI Biotech
BDH Broadband
IAI Broker-Dealers
KCE Capital Markets
PBW Clean Energy
XLY Consumer Discretionary
SZK Consumer Goods 2x short
IYC Consumer Services
SCC Consumer Services 2x short
XLP Consumer Staples
IYG Financial Services
IYF Financials
VFH Financials
XLF Financials
UYG Financials 2x long
SKF Financials 2x short
FAS Russell1000 Financials 3x long
FAZ Russell1000 Financials 3x short
MOO Global Agribusiness
XLV Health Care
RXD Health Care 2x short
IHF Healthcare Provider
ITB Home Construction
XHB Home Construction
XLI Industrials
SIJ Industrials 2x short
VGT Information Technology
KIE Insurance
HHH Internet
IAH Internet Architecture
IBB Nasdaq Biotech
IGN Networking
PPH Pharmaceutical
IYR Real Estate
RWX Real Estate
URE Real Estate 2x long
SRS Real Estate 2x short
ICF Realty Majors
RWR REIT
VNQ REIT
RTH Retail
XRT Retail
IGW Semiconductors
SMH Semiconductors
SSG Semiconductors 2x short
IGV Software
SWH Software
IGM Technology
IYW Technology
XLK Technology
REW Technology 2x short
IYZ Telecom
TTH Telecom
IYT Transports
UTH Utilities
XLU Utilities
SDP Utilities 2x short

Currencies
FXA Australian Dollar
FXB British Pound Sterling
FXC Canadian Dollar
FXE Euro
FXY Japanese Yen
FXM Mexican Peso
FXS Swedish Krona
FXF Swiss Franc
UUP US Dollar long
UDN US Dollar short
ULE Euro 2x long
EUO Euro 2x short
YCL Yen 2x long
YCS Yen 2x short

Fixed Income
AGG Aggregate Bond
BND Total Bond Market
BWX Intl Treasury Bond
IEF Lehman 7-10 Year Treasury
LQD Invest Grade Corp Bond
SHY 1-3 Year Treasury Bond
TIP TIPS Bond
TLT 20+ Year Treasury Bond
TBT 20+ Year Treasury Bond 2x short

Economic Indicators

Very Important
1) ISM: Institue for Supply Management Manufacturing Survey
10AM, 1st business day of the month. www.ism.ws

2) Employment Situation:
1st Friday each month.
8:30AM. www.stats.bls.gov

3) PPI: Producer Price Index
8:30AM. 2 to 3 weeks after reporting month ends. www.bls.gov

4) CPI: Consumer Price Index
8:30AM. 2nd or 3rd week. www.bls.gov

5) FOMC: Federal Open Market Commitee Statement
2:15PM. 8 times per year. www.federalreserve.gov/fomc

Important
1) ADP: National Employment Report
8:15AM. 2 days before 1st Friday of month of Employment Situation.
Usually 1st Wednesday of the month. www.adpemploymentreport.com

2) Weekly Unemployment Claim:
Every Thursday for previous week's.
8:30AM. www.ows.doleta.gov

3) Retail Sales:
2 weeks after the month ends.
8:30AM. www.census.gov

4) Durable Goods Order:
3 to 4 weeks after the month.
8:30AM. www.census.gov

5) Personal Income & Spending:
4 weeks after the month.
8:30AM. www.bea.gov

Trading Tips

Plan your trades. Trade your plan
Keep records of your trading results.
Keep a positive attitude, no matter how much you lose.
Don't take the market home.
Successful traders buy into bad news and sell into good news.
Successful traders are not afraid to buy high and sell low.
Successful traders have a well-scheduled planned time for studying the markets.
Successful traders isolate themselves from the opinions of others.
Continually strive for patience, perseverance, determination, and rational action.
Limit your losses - use stops ! ( mental imo )
Never Cancel a stop loss order after you have placed it!
Place the stop at the time you make your trade.
Never get into the market because you are anxious because of waiting.
Avoid getting in or out of the market too often.
Losses make the trader studious - not profits. Take advantage of every loss to improve your knowledge of market action.
The most difficult task in speculation is not prediction but self - control. Successful trading is difficult and frustrating. You are the most important element in the equation for success.
Always discipline yourself by following a pre - determined set of rules.
Remember that a bear market will give back in one month what a bull market has taken a three months to build.
Don't ever allow a big winning trade to turn into a loser. Stop yourself out if the market moves against you 20% from your peak profit point.
You must have a program, you must know your program, and you must follow your program.
Expect and accept losses gracefully. Those who brood over losses always miss the next opportunity, which more than likely will be profitable.
Split your profits right down the middle and never risk more then 50% of them again in the market.
The key to successful trading is knowing yourself and your stress point.
The difference between winners and losers isn't so much native ability as it is discipline excercised in avoiding mistakes.
In trading as in fencing there are the quick and the dead.
Speech may be silver but silence is golden. Traders with the golden touch do not talk about their success.
Dream big dreams and think tall. Very few people set goals too high. A man becomes what he thinks about all day long.
Accept failure as a step towards victory.
Have you taken a loss? Forget it quickly. Have you taken a profit? Forget it even quicker! Don't let ego and greed in hibit clear thinking and hard work.
One cannot do anything about yesterday. When one door closes, another door opens. The greater opportunity always lies through the open door.
The deepest secret for the trader is to subordinate his will to the will of the market. The market is truth as it reflects all forces that bear upon it. As long as he recognizes this he is safe. When he ignores this, he is lost and doomed.
It's much easier to put on a trade than to take it off.
If a market doesn't do what you think it should do, get out.
Beware of large positions that can control your emotions. Don't be overly aggressive with the market. Treat it gently by allowing your equity to grow steadily rather than in bursts.
Never add to a losing position.
Beware of trying to pick tops or bottoms.
You must believe in yourself and your judgment if you expect to make a living at this game.
In a narrow market there is no sense in trying to anticipate what the next big movement is going to be - up or down.
A loss never bothers me after i take it. I forget it overnight. But being wrong and not taking the loss - that is what does the damage to the pocket book and to the soul.
Never volunteer advice and never brag of winnings.
Of all speculative blunders, there are few greater than selling what shows a profit and keeping what shows a loss.
Standing aside is a position.
It is better to be more interested in the market's reaction to new information that in the piece of news itself.
If you don't know who you are , the markets are an expensive place to find out.
In the world of money, which is a world shaped by human behavior, nobody has the foggiest notion of what will happen in the future. Mark that word - Nobody! Thus the successful trader does not base moves on what supposedly will happen but reacts instead to what does happen.
Except in unusual circumstances, get in the habit of taking your profit too soon. Don't torment yourself if a trade continues winning without you. Chances are it won't continue long. If it does, console yourself by thinking of all the times when liquidating early reserved the gains that you would have otherwise lost.
When the ship starts to sink, don't pray - jump.
Lose your opinion - not your money.
Assimilate into your very bones a set of trading rules that works for you.

1R to 3R

@10.00
200 Buy $10 Stop, Limit $10.01
200 Sell Limit $10.60
200 Sell Stop $9.80
@10.20 = 1R
Move Sell Stop @9.98
@10.40 = 2R
Move Sell Stop @10.18
@10.60 = 3R
Move Sell Stop @10.38

Or @10.00
200 Buy $10 Stop, Limit $10.01
200 Sell Limit $10.60
200 Trailing Stop $0.22

1R = $0.40 Risk
3R= $1.20 Target (3:1 Ratio)

$120/day Target, $60-$40 Risk:
100 shares, $1.20 Target, $0.60 Risk -> $0.40 Risk
200 shares, $0.60 Target, $0.30 Risk -> $0.20 Risk
400 shares, $0.30 Target, $0.15 Risk -> $0.10 Risk
600 shares, $0.20 Target, $0.10 Risk
800 shares, $0.15 Target, $0.08 Risk
1000 shares, $0.12 Target, $0.06 Risk
1200 shares, $0.10 Target, $0.05 Risk

$25k,
0.25%= $62.5 Max Risk
0.50%= $125 Target
1%= $250
5%= $1250
10%= $2500

5 days/1wk
20 days/4wks/1mth
240 days/48wks/12mth/1yr

$20/day, $100/wk, $400/mth, ~$5k/yr
$40/day, $200/wk, $800/mth, $10k/yr
$60/day, $300/wk, $1200/mth, $15k/yr
$80/day, $400/wk, $1600/mth, $20k/yr
$100/day,$500/wk, $2000/mth, $25k/yr

$120/day, $600/wk, $2400/mth, $30k/yr
$140/day, $700/wk, $2800/mth, $35/yr
$160/day, $800/wk, $3200/mth, $40k/yr
$180/day, $900/wk, $3600/mth, $45k/yr
$200/day, $1000/wk, $4000/mth, $50k/yr

$220/day, $1100/wk, $4400/mth, $55k/yr
$240/day, $1200/wk, $4800/mth, $60k/yr
$260/day, $1300/wk, $5200/mth, $65k/yr
$280/day, $1400/wk, $5600/mth, $70k/yr
$300/day, $1500/wk, $6000/mth, $75k/yr

$320/day, $1600/wk, $6400/mth, $80k/yr
$340/day, $1700/wk, $6800/mth, $85k/yr
$360/day, $1800/wk, $7200/mth, $90k/yr
$380/day, $1900/wk, $7600/mth, $95/yr
$400/day, $2000/wk, $8000/mth, $100k/yr

Read this before making any trade

1. Wait until market settles down in a range to go to the opposite direction
2. Trade in the direction of 30 min stoch of /NQ.
3. 5 min Stoch. Buy on bottom. Sell on top.
4. When in a triangle range, stand aside and wait for breakout w/ high volume first. Place a buy-stop-limit order in the right direction and wait and stand aside.
5. Just wait if you are unsure about the direction of the breakout.
6. Set a target and stick to it. Don't be greed. Take small profit but safe trades. Use PreviousTop, Swing Rule, Fibo, ABC Projection.
7. Only 200 QID for now. Prove that you can do well with it for a whole week and then increase the size to 300, 400, and so on.
8. Get out quickly when it broke out with a low volume.
9. 200 shares of QID. 0.10 gain is $18. Stick with 0.10 and master it.
$18 in the morning. $18 in the afternoon. Total of $36 per day as a goal. $180 per week. $720 per month. $8640 per year. That's not bad.
10. Bracket Order:
Breakout at 43.16
200 Buy Stop @ 43.20 limit 43.21
200 Sell Limit @ 43.30
200 Sell Stop @ 43.08

11. Stick to the plan. If you do that even if you win or lose, you still win because you controlled yourself against impulsive your emotions and you stuck to the plan. That's what counts. You won against yourself.